Keunggulan Petahana dan Posisi Nomor Urut  atas di Dapil Banten Tahun 2019

Indra Surya Ramadhan

Keunggulan Petahana dan Posisi Nomor Urut atas di Dapil Banten Tahun 2019

Indra Surya Ramadhan

Abstract

Abstract. Incumbency status, position number on the ballots, and information dissemination level are indicators of voters' evaluation ability. This article will test the correlations of seat winnings, incumbency status, and candidate's position number on the ballot to explain the voters' evaluation ability in the 2019 Banten Province general election. The test results found that the incumbent status and the position number on the ballot correlate to the winning of seats. The results of the analysis show that incumbents have a greater chance of winning a seat than non-incumbents. It also shows that if the candidates have a position number on the ballot close to the first number, the vote gain is higher and vice versa. This article argues that incumbents and well-positioned candidates would win due to the limited ability of voters to evaluate all candidates and moderated by the lack of information on legislative candidates.

Keywords: Incumbency Advantages, Ballot Position Effect, Voter Evaluation Ability, Seat Winnings.

Abstrak. Kemenangan petahana Dewan Perwakilan Rakyat (DPR) dan calon DPR yang memiliki posisi nomor urut atas, serta kondisi persebaran informasi pemilihan legislatif yang rendah memungkinkan indikasi lemahnya kemampuan evaluasi para pemilih. Artikel ini menguji secara bivariat hubungan antara variabel kemenangan kursi dengan variabel status petahana dan posisi nomor urut dalam kertas suara calon-calon DPR di pemilihan umum Provinsi Banten tahun 2019 untuk menjelaskan kemampuan evaluasi pemilih. Hasil uji menemukan status petahana dan posisi nomor urut dalam kertas suara calon legislatif berhubungan dengan kemenangan kursi. Hasil analisis menunjukan petahana berpeluang lebih besar untuk memenangkan kursi daripada non- petahana. Hasil analisis juga menunjukan semakin calon legislatif mendekati posisi nomor urut atas, semakin tinggi perolehan suaranya dan sebaliknya. Artikel ini berargumen terjadinya kecenderungan kemenangan petahana dan calon yang memiliki posisi nomor urut atas karena keterbatasan kemampuan evaluasi pemilih yang minim informasi calon-calon legislatif.

Kata Kunci: Keunggulan Petahana, Posisi Nomor Urut Atas, Kemampuan Evaluasi Pemilih, Kemenangan Kursi DPR.

Keywords

Incumbency Advantages; Ballot Position Effect; Voter Evaluation Ability; Seat Winnings; Keunggulan Petahana; Posisi Nomor Urut Atas; Kemampuan Evaluasi Pemilih; Kemenangan Kursi DPR;

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Full Text: PDF

DOI: 10.15408/jisi.v2i2.22950