Competitiveness and Factors Affecting Indonesia’s Natural Rubber Export: An Evidence from Eight Main Destination Countries
Abstract
Research Originality: This research contribution focused on Indonesia's natural rubber productivity and the role of importer industrial sector development in Indonesia's natural rubber exports.
Research Objectives: This research analyzed Indonesia's natural rubber export competitiveness and the effect of productivity, importer industrial sector development, and export price on Indonesia's natural rubber export volume.
Research Methods: This research used secondary data from the World Bank, FAO, and UN Comtrade. The dataset covers eight countries from 2002 to 2022. Revealed comparative advantage (RCA), export product dynamics (EPD), and x-model potential export products are applied to analyze export competitiveness. In contrast, panel regression is applied to analyze the determinants of export.
Empirical Results: The results showed that Indonesia's natural rubber competitiveness has declined since 2018. Nevertheless, Indonesia's natural rubber is still competitive, and its expansion in the main-destination countries is considered potential. Natural rubber productivity, importer industrial sector development, and export price positively and significantly impact natural rubber export volume.
Implications: Indonesia's natural rubber competitiveness has declined. Hence, improving natural rubber quality would be suggested. Moreover, the positive impact of productivity can be maximized by building supporting infrastructure and upgrading production technologies.
JEL Classification: C33, F14, Q17
How to Cite:
Novaldi, J., & Muchlisoh, S. (2025). Competitiveness and Factors Affecting Indonesia’s Natural Rubber Export: An Evidence from Eight Main Destination Countries. Etikonomi, 24(1), 175 – 190. https://doi.org/10.15408/etk.v24i1.37841.
Keywords
References
Abdullahi, N. M., Zhang, Q., Shahriar, S., Irshad, M. S., Ado, A. B., & Huo, X. (2022). Examining the Determinants and Efficiency of China’s Agricultural Exports using a Stochastic Frontier Gravity Model. PLoS ONE, 17, 1–20. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0274187.
Aiginger, K., Bärenthaler-Sieber, S., & Vogel., J. (2013). Competitiveness under New Perspectives. Work Package 301, MS46, Research Paper on Competitiveness under New Perspectives.
Akbar, F. M., & Widyastutik. (2022). Analysis of Competitiveness, Dynamics, and Determinants of Main Commodity Export Demand from Indonesia to United Kingdom. Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan, 11(2), 108–131. https://doi.org/10.29244/jekp.11.2.2022.108-131.
Akim, K. A., & Ngui, D. M. (2019). Productivity and Export Performance: Micro-Level Evidence from the Manufacturing Sector in Nigeria. Frontiers of Economics in China, 14(3), 428–460. https://doi.org/10.3868/s060-008-019-0019-0.
Azahari, D. H., Purba, H. J., Erwidodo, Darwis, V., Dabukke, F. B. M., Hestina, J., & Yusuf, E. S. (2021). The Competitiveness of Indonesia’s Pepper Export and Its Challenges. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 892(1). https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/892/1/012074.
Balassa, B. (1965). Trade Liberalisation and “Revealed” Comparative Advantage. The Manchester School, 33(2), 99–123. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9957.1965.tb00050.x.
Destiarni, R. P., Triyasari, S. R., & Jamil, A. S. (2021). The Determinants of Indonesia’s CPO Export in Non - Traditional Market. E3S Web of Conferences, 232, 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202123202017.
Durand, M., Simon, J., & Webb, C. (1992). OECD’s Indicators of International Trade and Competitiveness. In OECD Economics Department Working Papers, issue 120. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1787/18151973.
Fikri Aldi Dwi Putro, & Nia Kurniawati Hidayat. (2023). Ekspor Teh Hitam Indonesia ke Jepang: Struktur Pasar dan Daya Saing. Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan, 17(2), 177–202. https://doi.org/10.55981/bilp.2023.227.
Greene, W. H. . (2012). Econometric analysis (7th ed.). New Jersey: Prentice Hall.
Hidayat, Susilastuti, D., & Karno. (2022). Pengaruh Produktifitas Perkebunan Karet Terhadap Ekspor Komoditas Karet Di Provinsi Kalimantan Barat. JABE (Journal of Applied Business and Economic), 8(3), 278. https://doi.org/10.30998/jabe.v8i3.11977.
Immanuel., Suharno., & Rifin, A. (2019). The Progressive Export Tax and Indonesia’s Palm Oil Product Export Competitiveness. Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan, 13(2), 211–232. https://doi.org/10.30908/bilp.v13i2.417.
Jiang, L., & Lin, C. (2020). Analysis on the International Competitiveness of China’s Trade in Services. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 56(13), 3033–3043. https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2019.1611558.
Kitano, S. (2022). How Do World Commodity Prices Affect Asian Commodity Exporting Economies? The Role of Financial Frictions. Applied Economics Letters, 29(1), 84–90. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2021.1887446.
Malikov, E., Zhao, S., & Kumbhakar, S. C. (2020). Estimation of Firm-Level Productivity in the Presence of Exports: Evidence from China’s Manufacturing. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 35(4), 457–480. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.2757.
Mankiw, N. G. (2019). Principles of Economics (9th ed.). New Jersey: Cengage Learning.
Matkovski, B., Kalaš, B., Zekić, S., & Jeremić, M. (2019). Agri-food competitiveness in South East Europe. Outlook on Agriculture, 48(4), 326–335. https://doi.org/10.1177/0030727019854770.
Muta’ali, L. (2019). Dinamika Peran Sektor Pertanian Dalam Pembangunan Wilayah di Indonesia. Yogyakarta: UGM PRESS.
Nabi, I., & Luthria, M. (2002). Building Competitive Firms: Incentives and Capabilities. Washington D.C.: The World Bank.
Nagy, J., & Jámbor, Z. (2019). Competitiveness in Dairy Trade-the Case of EU and the Visegrad Group Countries. Agris On-Line Papers in Economics and Informatics, 11(4), 61–74. https://doi.org/10.7160/aol.2019.110406.
Nurhayati, E., Hartoyo, S., & Mulatsih, S. (2018). Pengembangan Pasar Ekspor Lada Indonesia. Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan, 12(2), 267–288. https://doi.org/10.30908/bilp.v12i2.335.
Oktora, S. I., & Firdani, A. M. (2019). Natural Rubber Economics between China and Southeast Asia: The Impact of China’s Economic Slowdown. Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business, 6(2), 55–62. https://doi.org/10.13106/jafeb.2019.vol6.no2.55.
Phiri, J., Malec, K., Majune, S. K., Appiah-Kubi, S. N. K., Gebeltová, Z., Kotásková, S. K., Maitah, M., Maitah, K., & Naluwooza, P. (2021). Durability of Zambia’s agricultural exports. Agriculture, 11(1), 1–14. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture11010073.
Porter, M. E. (1998). The Competitive Advantage of Nations. Florence: The Free Press.
Prasetyani, D., Abidin, A. Z., Purusa, N. A., & Sandra, F. A. (2020). The Prospects and The Competitiveness of Textile Commodities and Indonesian Textile Product in the Global Market. Etikonomi, 19(1), 1–18. https://doi.org/10.15408/etk.v19i1.12886.
Pratama, A. P., Darwanto, D. H., & Masyhuri, M. (2020). Indonesian Clove Competitiveness and Competitor Countries in International Market. Economics Development Analysis Journal, 9(1), 39–54. https://doi.org/10.15294/edaj.v9i1.38075.
Rodrigue, J., & Tan, Y. (2019). Price, Product Quality, and Exporter Dynamics: Evidence From China. International Economic Review, 60(4), 1911–1955. https://doi.org/10.1111/iere.12410
Rossato, F. G. F. S., Susaeta, A., Adams, D. C., Hidalgo, I. G., de Araujo, T. D., & de Queiroz, A. (2018). Comparison of Revealed Comparative Advantage Indexes with Application to Trade Tendencies of Cellulose Production from Planted Forests in Brazil, Canada, China, Sweden, Finland and the United States. Forest Policy and Economics, 97, 59–66. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.forpol.2018.09.007.
Salvatore, D. (2019). International Economics (13th ed.). New York: John Wiley & Sons.
Sari, D. K., Supriana, T., & Rahmanta. (2021). Determinant Factors of Indonesian Rubber Export to Japan. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 782(2). https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/782/2/022053.
Sugiharti, L., Purwono, R., & Esquivias, M. A. (2020). Analysis of Determinants of Indonesian Agricultural Exports. Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, 7(4), 2676–2695. https://doi.org/10.9770/jesi.2020.7.4(8).
Tambunan, T. T. . (2013). Perekonomian Indonesia (Kajian Teoritis dan Analisis Empiris). Bogor: Penerbit Ghalia Indonesia.
Tiyastuti, E., Marwanti, S., & Fajarningsih, R. U. (2023). Competitiveness and Determinants of Indonesia’s Natural Rubber Exports in Main Partner Countries. Scientific Horizons, 25(12), 80–89. https://doi.org/10.48077/scihor.25(12).2022.80-89.
Vollrath, T. L. (1991). A Theoretical Evaluation of Alternative Trade Intensity Measures of Revealed Comparative Advantage. Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 127(2), 265–280. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02707986.
DOI: 10.15408/etk.v24i1.37841
Refbacks
- There are currently no refbacks.
Copyright (c) 2025 Jeremia Novaldi, Siti Muchlisoh

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.