Identifikasi Hubungan Linier dan Non-Linier antara Rasio-Rasio Keuangan dan Return Saham

I Made Pande Dwiana Putra, I Dewa Nyoman Badera

Abstract


Researches on relevance of financial ratios on stock returns mostly adopt linearity assumptions. This research aims to show the relevance of financial ratios on stock return and to compare the accuracy of linear and  non linear models. Linear and non  linear multivariate regression models are constructed from several financial ratios towards stock return to identify ratios with significant influences and subsequently compared in regard of their determinations. The samples consist of manufacturing companies listed on IDX  from 2009 through 2016 totaling 97 companies. Results of bivariate regressions show consistent relationships exist in form of positive-quadratic relationships for profitability ratios (ROA and ROE) and negative-logarithmic relationships for liquidity and solvability ratios (CR, QR and DER). In general, profitability ratios remain the dominant ratios affecting stock returns

Keywords


linear; nonlinear; financial ratio; stock return

Full Text:

PDF

References


Ball, R., dan Brown, P. (1968). An Empirical Evaluation of Accounting Income Numbers. Journal of Accounting Research. Autumn. 159-178.

Cai, Biqing dan Jiti Gao. (2017). A Simple Nonlinear Predictive Model for Stock Returns. Working Paper 18/17 November. Department of Economics and Business Statistics Monash Busines School.

Cheng, Shu-Ching, Wu, Tsung-Pao. (2013). Nonlinear Behavior of the US Stock Price-Dividend: Evidence from Threshold Unit Root Tests. Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting –XVI (4). 82-93.

Franses, P., dan Dijk, D. (2000) Non Linier Time Series Models in Empirical Finance. Cambridge University Press.

Guhathakurta, K. (2015). Investigating the Nonlinear Dynamics of Emerging and Developed Stock Markets. Journal of Engineering Science and Technology Review 8 (1). 65–71.

Kalalo, F. A. R. (2011). Perbandingan Model Linier dan Non-Linier Pada Hubungan antara Rasio Keuangan dengan Return Saham. Skripsi Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Airlangga.

Motahar, Sayed Sajad Mousavi dan Ali Reza Zamaniyan. (2013). Comparing Linear versus Non-linear Relationships between Accounting Variables and Stock Return of Accepted Chemical Industrial Companies in Tehran’s Stock Exchange. International Research Journal of Applied and Basic Sciences Vol, 6 (3). 345-352

Mramor, D., and Mramor-Kosta, N. (1997). Accounting Ratios as Factors of Rate on Equity. New Operational Approaches for Financial Modeling. Heidelberg: Physica-Verlag, 335-48.

Omran, M., and Ragab, A. (2004). Linear Versus Non-Linear Relationships between Financial Ratios and Stock Returns: Empirical Evidence from Egyptian Firms. Review of Accounting and Finance. 3 (2). 84-102.

Rahmawati. (2005). Relevansi Nilai Earnings dengan Pendekatan Terintegrasi: Hubungan Nonlinier. Jurnal Akuntansi dan Auditing 9 (1). 48-52.

Sakemoto, R. (2017). The Nonlinear Dynamic Relationship between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates in Asian Countries. International Journal of Financial Research. Vol 8 (2). 48-67

Wu, J.C., Liang, Y.Y., dan Wen, C.L. (2009). Nonlinear Market Dynamics between Stock Returns and Trading Volume: Empirical Evidence from Asian Stock Markets. Scientific Annals of the “Alexandru Ioan Cuza” University of Iasi: Economic Sciences Series.




DOI: https://doi.org/10.15408/akt.v12i1.10093 Abstract - 0 PDF - 0

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.




Published by
Department of Accounting, Faculty of Economic and Business,
Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University

Jl. Ir. H. Juanda no 95, Ciputat 15412, Tangerang Selatan, Banten, Indonesia
Phone:+62(21) 7493318, Fax.: +62 (21) 7496006. e-Mail: akuntabilitas@uinjkt.ac.id 

View My Stats License

This work is licensed under CC BY-SA

Â